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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Creasey Park Community Football Centre

AFC Dunstable
1 - 0
AFC Sudbury

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between AFC Dunstable and AFC Sudbury.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Dunstable

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Last Game: Newport Pagnell 0-1 AFC Dunstable
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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AFC Sudbury

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Last Game: AFC Sudbury 0-4 Colchester
Friday, November 5 at 7.55pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Dunstable win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for AFC Sudbury had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Dunstable win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest AFC Sudbury win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Dunstable would win this match.

Result
AFC DunstableDrawAFC Sudbury
39.83%22.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)37.21%
Both teams to score 65.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.38% (0.0049999999999955 0)35.61% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.67% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
AFC Dunstable Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53%18.46% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.35% (0.0049999999999955 0)49.65% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
AFC Sudbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34%19.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (0.0020000000000024 0)51.62% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AFC Dunstable 39.84%
    AFC Sudbury 37.21%
    Draw 22.95%
AFC DunstableDrawAFC Sudbury
2-1 @ 8.42%
1-0 @ 6.13% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 3.86%
3-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 39.84%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.85%
0-0 @ 3.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.09%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 8.11%
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 3.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.79%
2-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 37.21%