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FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Pavilion

Newport Pagnell
0 - 1
AFC Dunstable

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Newport Pagnell Town and AFC Dunstable.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport Pagnell Town

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Last Game: Ilford 0-3 Newport Pagnell
Tuesday, August 13 at 8pm in FA Cup
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AFC Dunstable

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Dunstable win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Newport Pagnell Town had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Dunstable win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.92%) and 2-3 (5%). The likeliest Newport Pagnell Town win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Dunstable would win this match.

Result
Newport Pagnell TownDrawAFC Dunstable
31.28% (8.443 8.44)20.88% (1.364 1.36)47.84% (-9.806 -9.81)
Both teams to score 71.61% (2.989 2.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.05% (0.64 0.64)26.95% (-0.64 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.58% (0.806 0.81)47.42% (-0.806 -0.81)
Newport Pagnell Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.5% (5.473 5.47)18.5% (-5.473 -5.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.28% (8.495 8.5)49.72% (-8.494 -8.49)
AFC Dunstable Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86% (-2.394 -2.39)12.13% (2.3931 2.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.27% (-5.307 -5.31)37.73% (5.307 5.31)
Score Analysis
    Newport Pagnell Town 31.28%
    AFC Dunstable 47.84%
    Draw 20.88%
Newport Pagnell TownDrawAFC Dunstable
2-1 @ 6.74% (1.195 1.2)
3-2 @ 4% (0.923 0.92)
3-1 @ 3.79% (1.151 1.15)
1-0 @ 3.79% (0.453 0.45)
2-0 @ 3.2% (0.815 0.82)
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.664 0.66)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.589 0.59)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.656 0.66)
4-3 @ 1.19% (0.334 0.33)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 31.28%
1-1 @ 7.99% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 7.11% (0.65 0.65)
3-3 @ 2.81% (0.424 0.42)
0-0 @ 2.25% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 20.88%
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.619 -0.62)
1-3 @ 5.92% (-1.098 -1.1)
2-3 @ 5% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-1.339 -1.34)
0-1 @ 4.74% (-0.703 -0.7)
0-3 @ 3.51% (-1.406 -1.41)
1-4 @ 3.12% (-0.965 -0.97)
2-4 @ 2.64% (-0.284 -0.28)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-1.011 -1.01)
3-4 @ 1.48% (0.092 0.09)
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.587 -0.59)
2-5 @ 1.11% (-0.249 -0.25)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 47.84%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Newport Pagnell Town