FA Cup
Ilford vs Newport Pagnell Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport Pagnell Town win with a probability of 58.6%. A win for Ilford had a probability of 22.39% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport Pagnell Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Ilford win was 2-1 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport Pagnell Town would win this match.
Result
Ilford
22.39%
▼
(-0.62)
Draw
19.01%
▼
(-0.27)
Newport Pagnell Town
58.6%
▲
(+0.88)
Both Teams to Score:
69.98%
▲
(+0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
74.36%
▲
(+0.54)
Under 2.5
25.63%
▼
(-0.55)
Over 3.5
54.26%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 3.5
45.74%
▼
(-0.70)
Over 4.5
34.76%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 4.5
65.24%
▼
(-0.68)
Ilford Goals
Over 0.5
76.84%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
23.15%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
42.97%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
57.03%
▲
(+0.19)
Newport Pagnell Town Goals
Over 0.5
91.07%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 0.5
8.92%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 1.5
69.51%
▲
(+0.88)
Under 1.5
30.49%
▼
(-0.88)
Score analysis
Ilford
22.39%
Draw
19.01%
Newport Pagnell Town
58.6%
Ilford
2-1
@
5.34%
▼
(-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 22.39%
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 22.39%
Draw
1-1
@
7.31%
▼
(-0.17)
2-2 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 19.01%
2-2 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 19.01%
Newport Pagnell Town
1-2
@
8.83%
▼
(-0.05)
1-3 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.13)
2-4 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.10)
1-5 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.10)
3-4 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.04)
2-5 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.07)
0-5 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 58.6%
1-3 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.13)
2-4 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.10)
1-5 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.10)
3-4 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.04)
2-5 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.07)
0-5 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 58.6%
Head to Head
FA Cup