FA Cup
Newport Pagnell Town vs Ilford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Newport Pagnell Town
All competitions
Ilford
All competitions
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport Pagnell Town win with a probability of 61.78%. A win for Ilford had a probability of 19.97% and a draw had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport Pagnell Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Ilford win was 1-2 (4.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result
Newport Pagnell Town
61.78%
▼
(-0.12)
Draw
18.25%
▲
(+0.02)
Ilford
19.97%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
69.08%
▲
(+0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
74.74%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
25.25%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 3.5
54.75%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 3.5
45.24%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 4.5
35.24%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 4.5
64.76%
▼
(-0.15)
Newport Pagnell Town Goals
Over 0.5
91.87%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
8.13%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
71.47%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
28.53%
▼
(-0.03)
Ilford Goals
Over 0.5
75.19%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
24.81%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
40.61%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
59.39%
▼
(-0.22)
Score analysis
Newport Pagnell Town
61.78%
Draw
18.25%
Ilford
19.97%
Newport Pagnell Town
2-1
@
8.85%
▼
(-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 61.78%
3-1 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 61.78%
Draw
1-1
@
7.06%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 18.25%
2-2 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 18.25%
Ilford
1-2
@
4.92%
▲
(+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.13%
Total : 19.97%
2-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.13%
Total : 19.97%