Potential new FA Cup header

FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The New Eyrie

Biggleswade
1 - 0
Canvey Island

Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Biggleswade and Canvey Island.

Form, Standings, Stats

Biggleswade

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Biggleswade 2-1 AFC Dunstable
Sunday, September 15 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Canvey Island

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Canvey Island 2-0 Felixstowe & Walton United
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Biggleswade win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Canvey Island had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Biggleswade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Canvey Island win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Biggleswade would win this match.

Result
BiggleswadeDrawCanvey Island
41.05% (-0.205 -0.2)23.37% (0.078999999999997 0.08)35.58% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 63.65% (-0.272 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.06% (-0.365 -0.37)37.93% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.8% (-0.392 -0.39)60.19% (0.391 0.39)
Biggleswade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (-0.242 -0.24)18.91% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.59% (-0.404 -0.4)50.4% (0.403 0.4)
Canvey Island Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)21.5% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.45% (-0.156 -0.16)54.54% (0.156 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Biggleswade 41.05%
    Canvey Island 35.58%
    Draw 23.36%
BiggleswadeDrawCanvey Island
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.77% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.64% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 10.4% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.07% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.36%
1-2 @ 8% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.58%