Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canvey Island win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Milton Keynes Irish had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canvey Island win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.94%) and 1-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Milton Keynes Irish win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Canvey Island in this match.