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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Frost Hire Stadium (Canvey Island, Essex)

Canvey Island
2 - 1
Milton Keynes Irish

Tinubu (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Canvey Island and Milton Keynes Irish.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canvey Island

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Last Game: Canvey Island 1-2 Southend
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Milton Keynes Irish

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Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-3 Milton Keynes Irish
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canvey Island win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Milton Keynes Irish had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canvey Island win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.94%) and 1-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Milton Keynes Irish win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Canvey Island in this match.

Result
Canvey IslandDrawMilton Keynes Irish
48.4% (0.035000000000004 0.04)21.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)29.96% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 67.78% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.44% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)31.56% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.95% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)53.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Canvey Island Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)13.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)40.83%
Milton Keynes Irish Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)21.5% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.45% (-0.067 -0.07)54.55% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Canvey Island 48.4%
    Milton Keynes Irish 29.96%
    Draw 21.64%
Canvey IslandDrawMilton Keynes Irish
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 5.84% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 8.98% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 6.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 2.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 29.96%