Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 57.48% ( | 22.71% ( | 19.81% |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.24% ( | 46.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% | 69.02% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( | 16.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.66% ( | 45.33% ( |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% | 37.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.52% | 74.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.19% ( 3-1 @ 6.03% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.76% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.26% Total : 57.47% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 5.89% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.58% Total : 19.81% |