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National League | Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Dwight Yorke Stadium
Ebbsfleet United

York City
4 - 0
Ebbsfleet

Pearce (41', 86'), Sinclair (73'), Thomas (90+6')
Sinclair (17'), Howe (45+2'), Felix (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wright (45+2'), Bingham (76')
Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York CityDrawEbbsfleet
57.48% (0.00099999999999767 0)22.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)19.81%
Both teams to score 52.32% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)46.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.97%69.02% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)16.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)45.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3%37.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52%74.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    York City 57.47%
    Ebbsfleet 19.81%
    Draw 22.71%
York CityDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 6.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.03%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 2.76%
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-0 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 57.47%
1-1 @ 10.78%
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.89%
1-2 @ 5.26%
0-2 @ 2.87%
1-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 19.81%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
York City
1-1
Ebbsfleet
John-Lewis (6')
Woodyard (28'), Fallowfield (90+5')
Cousins (90+5')
Tanner (90+2'), Tanner (90+2')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Ebbsfleet
4-1
York City
Sterling-James (19'), Domi (41'), Tanner (46'), Poleon (88')
Martin (67')
Siziba (28')
Siziba (17'), Dyson (81'), Dyson (81'), Hancox (85')