National League | Gameweek 11

Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

York Road

Maidenhead
2 - 1
Ebbsfleet

Abrahams (40'), McCoulsky (56' pen.)
Welch-Hayes (88'), Ross (90+3'), Barratt (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wright (90+2')
Tanner (47'), Olagunju (69'), Dallison (83')

Coverage of the National League clash between Maidenhead United and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Halifax
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 3-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Maidenhead United in this match.

Result
Maidenhead United	Draw	Ebbsfleet
43.37% ( -2.48)	24.74% ( 0.02)	31.88% ( 2.45)

Both teams to score 57.47% (

1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.47% (

1.01)

45.52% (

-1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.15% (

0.95)

67.85% (

-0.95)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.95% (

-0.68)

21.05% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.15% (

-1.07)

53.85% (

1.07)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8% (

2.14)

27.2% (

-2.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.38% (

2.7)

62.61% (

-2.7)

Score Analysis

Maidenhead United 43.37%

Ebbsfleet 31.88%

Draw 24.74%

Maidenhead United	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.61) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.4) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.37%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.74%	1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.36) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.27) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.17) Other @ 3% Total : 31.88%