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National League | Gameweek 9
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Maidenhead United

Tamworth
3 - 1
Maidenhead

Wreh (45+2'), Acquaye (55'), Tshikuna (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sho-Silva (90+4')
Ferguson (21'), Pettit (70')
Coverage of the National League clash between Tamworth and Maidenhead United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-0 Tamworth
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League

Maidenhead United

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 3-1 Maidenhead
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
TamworthDrawMaidenhead United
38.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)25.46% (0.0010000000000012 0)36.18% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 56.09% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49%24.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)58.97% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37%60.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 38.36%
    Maidenhead United 36.18%
    Draw 25.46%
TamworthDrawMaidenhead United
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 6.23%
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 38.36%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 36.18%