Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Sutton United
National League | Gameweek 10
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Ebbsfleet United

Sutton
3 - 2
Ebbsfleet

Davies (7'), Harris (51'), Nadesan (78')
Davies (20'), Eccleston (23'), Okoli (90+3'), Arnold (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Poleon (56'), Domi (67')
Page (11'), Chapman (45+1')
Coverage of the National League clash between Sutton United and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southend 1-3 Sutton
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawEbbsfleet
53.86% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)23.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)23.01% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.61% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)44.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)16.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)46.24% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61% (0.028000000000006 0.03)33.39% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98% (0.032 0.03)70.02% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 53.86%
    Ebbsfleet 23.01%
    Draw 23.12%
Sutton UnitedDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 53.86%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.32% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 23.01%

Head to Head
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 40
Ebbsfleet
1-1
Sutton
Ekpiteta (7')
Mekki (85')
Beautyman (50')
Davis (37'), Barden (67')
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Sutton
2-3
Ebbsfleet
Ajiboye (24'), Bugiel (75')
Bugiel (77'), Matsuzaka (98')
Butler (10' og.), Payne (61'), Ugwu (90' pen.)
Reid (63'), Cordner (77')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 37
Sutton
1-0
Ebbsfleet
Toure (90')
Thomas (82')

Kedwell (11'), Magri (55'), Adams (90')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Ebbsfleet
0-1
Sutton

Powell (66'), Adams (78')
Eastmond (33')
Taylor (15'), Davis (60'), Wishart (61')
Apr 21, 2018 3pm
Ebbsfleet
0-1
Sutton

Kedwell (92')
Bolarinwa (77')
Bailey (18'), Eastmond (26')