Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Sutton United |
| 47.28% ( | 24.44% ( | 28.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( | 45.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( | 68.29% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( | 19.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.56% ( | 51.44% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.12% ( | 29.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.02% ( | 65.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.28% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0-2 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 28.27% |