Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Southend United |
26.72% ( -0) | 26.09% ( 0) | 47.19% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.06% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.24% | 53.76% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.76% | 75.24% ( 0) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.82% ( -0) | 35.18% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.07% ( -0) | 71.93% ( 0.01) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.22% ( 0) | 22.78% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.53% ( 0) | 56.47% |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 8.37% 2-1 @ 6.47% 2-0 @ 4.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-0 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.07% Total : 26.72% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 11.85% 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.93% Total : 47.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 27 |
3 | York City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Gateshead | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Rochdale | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
14 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14 |
18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
19 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Fylde | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 12 |
22 | Boston UnitedBoston | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 6 |
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