Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Ebbsfleet United
National League | Gameweek 9
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
Hartlepool United

Ebbsfleet
1 - 0
Hartlepool

Bingham (40')
Domi (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Grey (29'), Sass-Davies (59')
Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Aldershot
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boston 1-2 Hartlepool
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawHartlepool United
30.69% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)24.81% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)44.5% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.7% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.71% (0.061 0.06)46.29% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.42% (0.058 0.06)68.57% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65%28.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91%64.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (0.054000000000002 0.05)20.86% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44% (0.085000000000001 0.09)53.56% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 30.7%
    Hartlepool United 44.5%
    Draw 24.8%
EbbsfleetDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 30.7%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.78% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.5%

Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Ebbsfleet
0-1
Hartlepool

Edser (90+5')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Hartlepool
2-2
Ebbsfleet
Dieseruvwe (6'), Hastie (90')
Ferguson (50'), Johnson (62')
Clifford (9'), Samuel (90+5')
Clifford (50'), Domi (75')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 47
Hartlepool
0-1
Ebbsfleet

Killip (57'), Toure (90+3'), Featherstone (90+9')
Ugwu (78' pen.)
Timlin (48'), Ugwu (80'), Adeloye (87'), (90+10'), McGlashan (90+10')
Nov 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Ebbsfleet
2-2
Hartlepool
Weston (72', 81')
Payne (24'), Grimes (75')
Umerah (45')
Holohan (32', 42')
Featherstone (68'), Donaldson (80')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Ebbsfleet
0-0
Hartlepool
King (12'), Rance (79')
Noble (85')
rhs 2.0


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