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National League | Gameweek 8
Sep 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Jakemans Stadium
Hartlepool United

Boston
1 - 2
Hartlepool

Hazel (4')
Maguire (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gomez Mancini (53'), Dieseruvwe (61')
Dieseruvwe (31'), Charman (76'), Smith (86')
Coverage of the National League clash between Boston United and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston United

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 0-3 Boston
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Halifax
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Boston United win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hartlepool United in this match.

Result
Boston UnitedDrawHartlepool United
24.28% (-0.125 -0.13)22.76% (0.026 0.03)52.96% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 58.41% (-0.228 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (-0.235 -0.23)41.65% (0.237 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)64.05% (0.241 0.24)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)30.67% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.08% (-0.273 -0.27)66.92% (0.273 0.27)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)15.75% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.13% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)44.86% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Boston United 24.28%
    Hartlepool United 52.96%
    Draw 22.75%
Boston UnitedDrawHartlepool United
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.71% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 24.28%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.25% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 5.08% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 52.96%

How you voted: Boston vs Hartlepool

Boston United
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Hartlepool United
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2007 3pm
Boston
0-1
Hartlepool
Humphreys (64')
Sep 1, 2006 3pm
Hartlepool
2-1
Boston
Sweeney (29'), Daly (71')
Brackstone (62')

Tait (16'), Holland (24'), Galbraith (54'), Ellender (79')
Ellender (88')