National League | Gameweek 13

Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
2 - 2
Rochdale

Chapman (64'), Bingham (67' pen.)
Wright (34'), Dallison (40')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Allarakhia (36'), McBride (45')

Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Oldham
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 1-0 Braintree
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Rochdale
27.78% ( 0.58)	24.38% ( 0.08)	47.84% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 56.25% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.97% (

0.05)

46.03% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.66% (

0.05)

68.34% (

-0.05)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.73% (

0.46)

30.27% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.55% (

0.55)

66.45% (

-0.55)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.67% (

-0.25)

19.33% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.9% (

-0.41)

51.1% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 27.78%

Rochdale 47.84%

Draw 24.38%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.78%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 47.84%