Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 12
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Spotland Stadium
Braintree Town

Rochdale
1 - 0
Braintree

Mitchell (7')
Gordon (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vennings (5'), Marshall-Miranda (83')
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-3 Rochdale
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Braintree Town

All competitions
Last Game: Braintree 1-0 Halifax
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawBraintree Town
61.88% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)20.79% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)17.33% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 54.09% (0.371 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84% (0.361 0.36)42.16% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.43% (0.361 0.36)64.57% (-0.355 -0.36)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (0.088999999999999 0.09)13.09% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.29% (0.173 0.17)39.71% (-0.17 -0.17)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.24% (0.366 0.37)37.76% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.47% (0.354 0.35)74.53% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 61.88%
    Braintree Town 17.33%
    Draw 20.79%
RochdaleDrawBraintree Town
2-0 @ 10.21% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.74% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.43%
5-1 @ 1.39% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 61.88%
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.79%
0-1 @ 4.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.77% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 17.33%