National League | Gameweek 11

Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Northern Gas and Power Stadium

Hartlepool
0 - 3
Rochdale

Sheron (36')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McBride (45'), Mitchell (58'), Rodney (79')
Burger (56')

Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 4-2 Rochdale
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Rochdale
34.25% ( -4.46)	26.17% ( -1.02)	39.57% ( 5.47)

Both teams to score 53.41% (

3.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.89% (

4.16)

51.1% (

-4.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.04% (

3.53)

72.96% (

-3.53)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.56% (

-0.66)

28.43% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.81% (

-0.83)

64.19% (

0.83)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

5.22)

25.36% (

-5.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.84% (

6.65)

60.16% (

-6.66)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 34.25%

Rochdale 39.57%

Draw 26.17%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 9.07% ( -1.81) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( -1.27) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.59) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.25%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -1.28) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.9) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.82) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.89) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.75) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.52) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.45) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.57%