National League | Gameweek 12

Sep 28, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
1 - 2
Oldham

Poleon (81' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kitching (48'), Khan (85')
Uchegbulam (90+4'), Hudson (90+2')

Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Oldham Athletic
31.51% ( -0.09)	26.06% ( -0.03)	42.43% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 52.95% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.66% (

0.09)

51.33% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.84% (

0.08)

73.16% (

-0.07)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.67% (

-0.01)

30.33% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.48% (

-0.02)

66.52% (

0.02)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76% (

0.1)

23.99% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.76% (

0.14)

58.24% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 31.51%

Oldham Athletic 42.42%

Draw 26.06%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 31.51%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.42%