Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Barnet
National League | Gameweek 16
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hive Stadium
Rochdale

Barnet
2 - 1
Rochdale

Kabamba (6'), Coker (41')
Collinge (78'), Clifford (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Henderson (70')
Hogan (20'), Gordon (46')
Coverage of the National League clash between Barnet and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 3-1 Barnet
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Halifax
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 53.28%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnet in this match.

Result
BarnetDrawRochdale
53.28% (-0.245 -0.24)22.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02)24.35% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 59.83% (0.201 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.19% (0.152 0.15)39.8% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84% (0.156 0.16)62.16% (-0.165 -0.16)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)14.99% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.55% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)43.44% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (0.25800000000001 0.26)29.62% (-0.266 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (0.315 0.32)65.66% (-0.324 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Barnet 53.28%
    Rochdale 24.35%
    Draw 22.37%
BarnetDrawRochdale
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 53.28%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.4%
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 24.35%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Barnet
2-0
Rochdale
Stead (2', 72')
Pritchard (45+4')

Hayes (37'), Brooks (73'), Sassi (87'), Ebanks-Landell (90+1')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Rochdale
4-2
Barnet
Sinclair (24', 43'), Gilmour (51'), Henderson (89')
Ebanks-Landell (29'), Moulden (86')
Kabamba (26', 67')
Hartigan (44')
Feb 23, 2013 3pm
Barnet
0-0
Rochdale
Vilhete (86'), Ngala (89')
Barry-Murphy (58'), Rose (70'), Jones (78')
Sep 1, 2012 3pm
May 8, 2010 3pm
Barnet
1-0
Rochdale
Jarrett (90')
Jarrett (90')

Holness (22')