National League | Gameweek 14

Oct 19, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Spotland Stadium

Rochdale
0 - 1
Southend

Allarakhia (26'), Buyabu (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Walker (45+3')
Gubbins (55'), Crowther (79'), Appiah-Forson (90+6')

Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Fylde 1-4 Rochdale
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Eastleigh 0-1 Southend
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Southend United in this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Southend United
32.67% ( -0.12)	25.74% ( -0.03)	41.59% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 54.43% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.38% (

0.08)

49.62% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.36% (

0.07)

71.64% (

-0.07)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

-0.03)

28.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46% (

-0.04)

64.54% (

0.05)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34% (

0.11)

23.66% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.24% (

0.16)

57.76% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 32.67%

Southend United 41.59%

Draw 25.73%

Rochdale	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.67%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.59%