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FA Cup

Eastleigh
FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Silverlake Stadium
Southend United

Eastleigh
0 - 1
Southend

FT(HT: 0-0)
Pepple (90+3')
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Eastleigh and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-3 Forest Green
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

Southend United

All competitions
Last Game: Southend 0-2 Maidenhead
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
EastleighDrawSouthend United
17.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.67%62.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 53.97% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)42.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)38% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.77% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)12.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)39.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Eastleigh 17.07%
    Southend United 62.26%
    Draw 20.67%
EastleighDrawSouthend United
1-0 @ 4.76%
2-1 @ 4.71%
2-0 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 17.07%
1-1 @ 9.73%
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.67%
0-2 @ 10.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 7.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 6.78%
0-4 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.68%
0-5 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 62.26%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Southend
2-0
Eastleigh
Ralph (24'), Bridge (45+1' pen.)
Morton (56')

Humphries (45'), Maguire (64'), Boutin (86'), McCallum (86')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Eastleigh
0-1
Southend

Quigley (35'), Maguire (62')
Bridge (53' pen.)
Sandat (69'), Ralph (78'), Miley (81'), Taylor (90+6')
Aug 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Southend
2-0
Eastleigh
Husin (17'), Cardwell (25')
Miley (55')

Boldewijn (88')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Southend
1-3
Eastleigh
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Eastleigh
2-1
Southend
Whitehall (77', 90+6')
Camp (67')
Powell (22')
Demetriou (69'), Coker (70'), Cosgrove (75'), Fonguck (84'), Hobson (88')