Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 31.14% ( | 25.16% ( | 43.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( | 47.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( | 69.86% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( | 28.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( | 64.58% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( | 21.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.98% ( | 55.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.14% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0-2 @ 7.27% ( 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.69% |