National League | Gameweek 12

Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
1 - 0
Hartlepool

McCann (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Parkes (33'), Robinson (57')

Coverage of the National League clash between Forest Green Rovers and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-3 Rochdale
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Hartlepool United
42.12% ( -0.33)	25.83% ( -0.05)	32.05% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 53.89% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.78% (

0.31)

50.21% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83% (

0.27)

72.17% (

-0.27)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34% (

-0.03)

23.66% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.24% (

-0.05)

57.76% (

0.04)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.59% (

0.4)

29.41% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.59% (

0.49)

65.4% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 42.11%

Hartlepool United 32.05%

Draw 25.83%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.11%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.05%