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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 51.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 23.69% | 24.88% | 51.43% |
| Both teams to score 50.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.66% | 51.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% | 73.16% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% | 36.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.73% | 73.27% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.04% | 19.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.88% | 52.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 7.34% 2-1 @ 5.97% 2-0 @ 3.7% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.69% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-2 @ 9.46% 1-3 @ 5.12% 0-3 @ 5.08% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 2.06% 0-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.43% |