National League | Gameweek 6

Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
2 - 1
Southend

Ustabasi (45+1'), Haughton (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Scott-Morriss (57')
Taylor (54'), Ralph (87')

Coverage of the National League clash between Fylde and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: York City 3-0 Fylde
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 1-3 Sutton
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Fylde	Draw	Southend United
30.62% ( 0.7)	24.5% ( 0.1)	44.88% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 57.7% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.04% (

-0.11)

44.96% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.68% (

-0.11)

67.32% (

0.11)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25% (

0.41)

27.75% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68% (

0.53)

63.32% (

-0.52)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85% (

-0.39)

20.15% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.57% (

-0.63)

52.43% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Fylde 30.62%

Southend United 44.88%

Draw 24.5%

Fylde	Draw	Southend United
2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.62%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.5%	1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 44.88%