FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying

Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK

Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
1 - 4
Rochdale

Roberts (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitchell (55', 77', 82'), Barlow (85')

Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Fylde and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: Fylde 5-2 Aldershot
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-2 Rochdale
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Fylde	Draw	Rochdale
30.21% ( 0.05)	23.57% ( 0.06)	46.21% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 60.73% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.12% (

-0.27)

40.88% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.73% (

-0.28)

63.26% (

0.28)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

-0.1)

25.98% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39% (

-0.14)

60.99% (

0.14)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04% (

-0.15)

17.96% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.2% (

-0.26)

48.79% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Fylde 30.21%

Rochdale 46.21%

Draw 23.57%

Fylde	Draw	Rochdale
2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.21%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.57%	1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.73% Total : 46.21%