Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 34.63% ( | 23.74% ( | 41.64% |
| Both teams to score 62.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.05% ( | 39.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.69% ( | 62.31% ( |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% | 22.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.3% ( | 56.7% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( | 19.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.63% ( | 51.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 1-0 @ 6.58% ( 2-0 @ 4.85% ( 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.21% Total : 34.63% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0-0 @ 4.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 4.8% ( 2-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 2-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.24% Total : 41.64% |