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AFC Fylde
National League | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
1 - 2
Tamworth

Haughton (66' pen.)
Whelan (17'), Ormerod (39'), Gamble (45+2'), T (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ryan McGlinchey (48'), Creaney (90+6')
Ryan McGlinchey (14'), Milnes (83'), Morrison (86'), Creaney (90+6')
Coverage of the National League clash between Fylde and Tamworth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions
Last Game: Fylde 1-1 Woking
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League

Tamworth

All competitions
Last Game: Braintree 0-1 Tamworth
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
FyldeDrawTamworth
50.46% (-6.096 -6.1)23.39% (1.501 1.5)26.16% (4.598 4.6)
Both teams to score 58.22% (0.387 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.21% (-2.031 -2.03)42.8% (2.034 2.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (-2.048 -2.05)65.2% (2.052 2.05)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (-2.801 -2.8)17.07% (2.805 2.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.76% (-5.202 -5.2)47.24% (5.206 5.21)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2% (2.747 2.75)29.8% (-2.744 -2.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.12% (3.203 3.2)65.88% (-3.2 -3.2)
Score Analysis
    Fylde 50.46%
    Tamworth 26.16%
    Draw 23.38%
FyldeDrawTamworth
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.258 -0.26)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.853 -0.85)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.744 -0.74)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-1.03 -1.03)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.617 -0.62)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.712 -0.71)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.235 -0.24)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 50.46%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.74 0.74)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.279 0.28)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.444 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.895 0.9)
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.947 0.95)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.803 0.8)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.528 0.53)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.275 0.28)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.41 0.41)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 26.16%