League One

League One | Gameweek 20

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Buchanan (6', 6'), Stansfield (37' pen.)

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 71.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
71.75% ( -0.21)	17.57% ( 0.25)	10.68% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 46.72% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.48% (

-1.22)

42.52% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.07% (

-1.23)

64.93% (

1.24)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.49% (

-0.38)

10.51% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.81% (

-0.86)

34.19% (

0.87)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.2% (

-0.86)

47.8% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.92% (

-0.64)

83.08% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 71.74%

Bristol Rovers 10.68%

Draw 17.57%

Birmingham City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
2-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 71.74%	1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.57%	0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 10.68%