League One

League One | Gameweek 14

Oct 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
1 - 1
Birmingham

Gregory (63')
Lewis (41'), McLaughlin (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Thor Willumsson (10')
Iwata (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Mansfield Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Mansfield
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bolton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Birmingham City
31.33% ( -0.28)	23.67% ( -0.04)	45% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 61.01% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.22% (

0.06)

40.78% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.83% (

0.06)

63.16% (

-0.06)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77% (

-0.14)

25.23% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.02% (

-0.19)

59.97% (

0.2)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.59% (

0.16)

18.41% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.44% (

0.27)

49.56% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 31.33%

Birmingham City 45%

Draw 23.67%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Birmingham City
2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.33%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.57% Total : 45%