League One
Gameweek
14
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbrumlog.png)
-
Aaron Lewis
41'
-
Stephen McLaughlin
56'
-
Lee Gregory
63'
-
Willum Thor Willumsson
10'
-
Tomoki Iwata
22'
Mansfield Town vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Fchris-davies.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result
Mansfield Town
31.33%
▼
(-0.29)
Draw
23.67%
▼
(-0.04)
Birmingham City
45%
▲
(+0.33)
Both Teams to Score:
61.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.22%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
40.78%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
36.83%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
63.16%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
19.65%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
80.34%
▼
(-0.05)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5
74.77%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
25.23%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
40.02%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
59.97%
▲
(+0.20)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5
81.59%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
18.41%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
50.44%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 1.5
49.56%
▼
(-0.27)
Score analysis
Mansfield Town
31.33%
Draw
23.67%
Birmingham City
45%
Mansfield Town
2-1
@
7.45%
▼
(-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 31.33%
1-0 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 31.33%
Draw
1-1
@
10.82%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.67%
2-2 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.67%
Birmingham City
1-2
@
9.16%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 45%
0-1 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 45%
Head to Head
Pre-Season Friendlies