League One

League One | Gameweek 19

Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
1 - 2
Birmingham

Seung-ho (58' og.)
Connell (15'), Clarke (16'), O'Keeffe (23'), Phillips (38'), Cosgrove (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stansfield (60', 79')
Harris (31'), Laird (87'), Gardner-Hickman (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Stockport
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Birmingham City
27.67% ( -0.06)	24.73% ( 0.03)	47.6% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.02% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.39% (

-0.16)

47.62% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.19% (

-0.15)

69.82% (

0.15)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.83% (

-0.13)

31.18% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.49% (

-0.16)

67.51% (

0.16)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.94% (

-0.05)

20.06% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.72% (

-0.08)

52.28% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 27.67%

Birmingham City 47.59%

Draw 24.72%

Barnsley	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.67%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.59%