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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Birmingham logo

Barnsley
1 - 2
Birmingham

Seung-ho (58' og.)
Connell (15'), Clarke (16'), O'Keeffe (23'), Phillips (38'), Cosgrove (83')
Phillips (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stansfield (60', 79')
Harris (31'), Laird (87'), Gardner-Hickman (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Stockport
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 0-1 Birmingham City

In the midst of a five-game winless run, Barnsley will not be looking forward to the visit of promotion contenders Birmingham on Saturday afternoon. Blues' attack is set to be blunted by the absence of Anderson, but we feel that the visitors should manage to grind out a narrow victory in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBirmingham City
27.67% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 24.73% (0.026 0.03) 47.6% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.02% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.164 -0.16)47.62% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (-0.152 -0.15)69.82% (0.152 0.15)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.134 -0.13)31.18% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-0.157 -0.16)67.51% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.053000000000011 -0.05)20.06% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)52.28% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 27.67%
    Birmingham City 47.59%
    Draw 24.72%
BarnsleyDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.41%
0-2 @ 8.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.59%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Birmingham

Barnsley
23.3%
Draw
16.7%
Birmingham City
60.0%
30
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
2-1
Barnsley
Hernandez (34'), Hogan (51')
Gardner (90')
Adeboyejo (87')
Palmer (38'), Helik (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Barnsley
1-0
Birmingham
Dike (49')
Halme (77'), Mason (90+4')

Friend (33'), Harper (72')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Birmingham
1-2
Barnsley
Hogan (56')
McGree (68'), Leko (77')
Woodrow (71' pen.), Styles (84')
Andersen (58')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
19Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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