League One Gameweek 19
Barnsley
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
Birmingham
  • Luca Connell 15' yellowcard
  • Darrell Clarke 16' yellowcard
  • Corey O'Keeffe 23' yellowcard
  • Adam Phillips 38' yellowcard
  • Paik Seung-ho 58' goal
  • Adam Phillips 70' redcard
  • Sam Cosgrove 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Harris 31'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 60'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 79'
  • yellowcard Ethan Laird 87'
  • yellowcard Taylor Gardner-Hickman 90'+4'

Barnsley vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Wrexham 1 - 0 Barnsley
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Davis Keillor-Dunn

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 4, 2024 7.45pm
Birmingham 2 - 0 Stockport
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result

Barnsley 27.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 24.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Birmingham City 47.6% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.02% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.39% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 47.62% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 30.19% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 69.82% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 4.5 14.8% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 85.2% ▲ (+0.11)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 68.83% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 31.18% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 32.49% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 67.51% ▲ (+0.16)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 79.94% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 20.06% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 47.72% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 52.28% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Barnsley 27.67%
Draw 24.72%
Birmingham City 47.59%
Barnsley
1-0 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.72%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.41%
0-2 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.59%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 28
Birmingham
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Barnsley
  • Onel Hernandez 34' goal
  • Scott Hogan 51' goal
  • Gary Gardner 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Romal Palmer 38'
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 87'
  • yellowcard Michal Helik 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 5
Barnsley
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Birmingham
  • Callum Styles 6' goal
  • Romal Palmer 29' yellowcard
  • Callum Styles 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Woods 25'
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 33'
  • yellowcard Tahith Chong 58'
  • yellowcard Harlee Dean 65'
  • yellowcard Kristian Pedersen 89'
Championship Gameweek 35
Barnsley
Mar 6, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
Birmingham
  • Daryl Dike 49' goal
  • Aapo Halme 77' yellowcard
  • Joe Mason 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Friend 33'
  • yellowcard Rekeem Harper 72'
Championship Gameweek 15
Birmingham
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Barnsley
  • Scott Hogan 56' goal
  • Riley McGree 68' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Leko 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mads Andersen 58'
  • goal Cauley Woodrow 71'
  • goal Callum Styles 84'
Championship Gameweek 32
Barnsley
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Oakwell Ground
Birmingham
  • Mads Andersen 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lukas Jutkiewicz 68'
  • goal Scott Hogan 76'
Championship Gameweek 4
Birmingham
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Barnsley
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 69' goal
  • Alvaro Gimenez 71' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Gimenez 77' goal
  • yellowcard Mads Andersen 40'

Form Data

Wrexham 1 - 0 Barnsley
Barnsley 0 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Barnsley 2 - 2 Reading
Barnsley 0 - 1 Wigan
Cambridge 1 - 1 Barnsley
Barnsley 2 - 0 Rotherham
Birmingham 2 - 0 Stockport
Blackpool 1 - 2 Birmingham
Exeter 0 - 2 Birmingham
Shrewsbury 3 - 2 Birmingham
Birmingham 1 - 1 Northampton
Sutton 0 - 1 Birmingham