League One

League One | Gameweek 5

Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
0 - 2
Birmingham

Crama (28'), Francis (63'), Woods (64'), Doyle (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Iwata (11'), Stansfield (83' pen.)
Davies (39'), Bielik (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Birmingham City
29.16% ( -0.05)	25.63% ( -0.01)	45.2% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 53.13% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.44% (

-0.01)

50.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.52% (

-0)

72.47% (

-0)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4% (

-0.04)

31.59% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32% (

-0.04)

67.99% (

0.03)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.67% (

0.02)

22.33% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.19% (

0.03)

55.81% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 29.16%

Birmingham City 45.2%

Draw 25.62%

Exeter City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.16%	1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.2%