League One
Gameweek
5
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-
Tristan Crama
28'
-
Edward Francis
63'
-
Ryan Woods
64'
-
Kami Doyle
84'
-
Tomoki Iwata
11'
-
Ben Davies
39'
-
Krystian Bielik
61'
-
Jay Stansfield
83'
Exeter City vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
Result
Exeter City
29.16%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
25.63%
▼
(-0.01)
Birmingham City
45.2%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
53.13%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.44%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
50.56%
Over 3.5
27.52%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
72.47%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
12.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
87%
▼
(-0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5
68.4%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
31.59%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
32%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
67.99%
▲
(+0.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5
77.67%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
22.33%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
44.19%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
55.81%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Exeter City
29.16%
Draw
25.62%
Birmingham City
45.2%
Exeter City
1-0
@
8.13%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.16%
2-1 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.16%
Draw
1-1
@
12.18%
0-0 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.62%
0-0 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.62%
Birmingham City
0-1
@
10.57%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 45.2%
1-2 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 45.2%