League One

League One | Gameweek 17

Nov 23, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
3 - 2
Birmingham

Pierre (31'), Marquis (38'), Bloxham (55')
Marquis (20'), Pierre (90+7'), Castledine (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Iwata (44'), Stansfield (75' pen.)
Anderson (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Walsall 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 77.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.27%) and 0-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Birmingham City
8.39% ( 0.07)	14.37% ( 0.1)	77.24% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 49.06% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.49% (

-0.25)

34.51% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.56% (

-0.28)

56.44% (

0.28)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.91% (

-0.03)

47.08% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.45% (

-0.02)

82.55% (

0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.71% (

-0.09)

7.29% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.63% (

-0.23)

26.37% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 8.39%

Birmingham City 77.23%

Draw 14.37%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 8.39%	1-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 14.37%	0-2 @ 11.76% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 10.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 6.73% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 5.07% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 77.23%