Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.