League One

League One | Gameweek 15

Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Kalinauskas (10'), Orsi (51')
Webster (19')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lloyd (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Crawley
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
43.74% ( -0.29)	26.63% ( 0.03)	29.63% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 50.33% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.68% (

-0.01)

54.32% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.29% (

-0.01)

75.7% (

0.01)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.34% (

-0.15)

24.66% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.81% (

-0.21)

59.18% (

0.21)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.8% (

0.18)

33.2% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.19% (

0.2)

69.81% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 43.74%

Shrewsbury Town 29.63%

Draw 26.62%

Burton Albion	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.74%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.63%