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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Kalinauskas (10'), Orsi (51')
Webster (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lloyd (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Crawley
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Shrewsbury Town

With two fresh faces at the helm, this may turn out to be a different type of game than it would have been two weeks ago. Nevertheless, the respective teams know that they cannot afford to lose this game, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawShrewsbury Town
43.74% (-0.286 -0.29) 26.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 29.63% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.32% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.7% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)24.66% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)59.18% (0.208 0.21)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (0.182 0.18)33.2% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (0.202 0.2)69.81% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 43.74%
    Shrewsbury Town 29.63%
    Draw 26.62%
Burton AlbionDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.74%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Shrewsbury

Burton Albion
50.0%
Draw
6.3%
Shrewsbury Town
43.8%
16
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
1-0
Shrewsbury
Lubala (16')
Oshilaja (67'), Crocombe (84')

Kenneh (83')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Shrewsbury
2-1
Burton Albion
Bayliss (3'), Dunkley (45+4')
Benning (83')
Bennett (90+7')
Blackman (4'), Brayford (72'), Oshilaja (76'), Chauke (79')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Burton Albion
0-4
Shrewsbury
Saydee (1', 43'), Leahy (58' pen.), Dunkley (90+4')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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