We said: Burton Albion 2-1 Scarborough Athletic
Low on confidence due to their League One struggles, Burton could be unnerved by a shaky start at the Pirelli Stadium against non-league opposition.
That being said, the Brewers should have too much quality for Scarborough, who could be having nightmares about Orsi and Bodin on Saturday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.