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FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium

Scarborough Ath
3 - 1
Chester

Tear (35', 65'), Bennett (39' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Murray (90+5')
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Scarborough Athletic and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Leamington 1-1 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

Chester FC

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Chester 0-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawChester FC
38.97% (0.061 0.06)25.77% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)35.25% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.89% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (0.024999999999999 0.02)49.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (0.021000000000001 0.02)71.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (0.042000000000002 0.04)24.86% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54% (0.061 0.06)59.46% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)62.27% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 38.97%
    Chester FC 35.26%
    Draw 25.77%
Scarborough AthleticDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.26%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Chester
3-2
Scarborough Ath
Caton (9', 20'), Willoughby (90+2')
Hunter (33')
Tear (5'), Mulhern (77')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
Chester
3-0
Scarborough Ath
Whitehouse (9' pen.), Glendon (67'), Peers (90+4')

Thornton (88')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Scarborough Ath
1-0
Chester
Maloney (90+4')

Burke (90+6')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Chester
2-2
Scarborough Ath
Willoughby (14'), Caton (87')
Weledji (76'), Thornton (90+3')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Scarborough Ath
1-3
Chester
R (68')
Hall (50'), Caton (62'), Willoughby (90')