MX23RW : Friday, October 4 18:37:58| >> :600:360376:360376:
FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying Replays
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
1 - 0
Stockton Town

Burke (72')
Rawlinson (3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying Replays clash between Chester FC and Stockton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockton Town 1-1 Chester
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stockton Town 1-1 Chester
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Stockton Town had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Stockton Town win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chester FC in this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawStockton Town
56.43% (0.781 0.78) 23.43% (-0.425 -0.43) 20.14% (-0.351 -0.35)
Both teams to score 50.62% (0.767 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.7% (1.289 1.29)49.3% (-1.285 -1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65% (1.151 1.15)71.35% (-1.146 -1.15)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (0.75800000000001 0.76)17.28% (-0.754 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (1.312 1.31)47.61% (-1.308 -1.31)
Stockton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19% (0.372 0.37)38.81% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (0.348 0.35)75.54% (-0.343 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 56.43%
    Stockton Town 20.14%
    Draw 23.42%
Chester FCDrawStockton Town
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.05% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.111 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.12 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.138 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.077 0.08)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 56.43%
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.359 -0.36)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.272 -0.27)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 20.14%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Third Round Qualifying
Stockton Town
1-1
Chester
Thompson (64')
Rawlinson (90')
rhs 2.0
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