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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Map Group UK Stadium

Stockton Town
3 - 2
Marine AFC

FT(HT: 0-1)
Butterworth (45+2')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Stockton Town and Marine AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockton Town

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Last Game: Stockton Town 1-0 Widnes
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Marine AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Marine AFC 0-0 Darlington
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Stockton Town had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Stockton Town win was 1-0 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Stockton TownDrawMarine AFC
25.57% (0.041 0.04)23.9% (0.02 0.02)50.52% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.92% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.42% (-0.052 -0.05)45.57% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)67.9% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Stockton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27% (0.007000000000005 0.01)31.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)68.15% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)18.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.98% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)49.01% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stockton Town 25.57%
    Marine AFC 50.52%
    Draw 23.89%
Stockton TownDrawMarine AFC
1-0 @ 6.59% (0.015 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.47% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.78% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 25.57%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 9.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 8.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.78% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 50.52%