National League North | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
1 - 2
Marine AFC

Pedro (49')
Popoola (38')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Holmes (10', 44')
Holmes (54'), Whelan (64'), Mattock (76')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Marine AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Buxton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Marine AFC 0-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawMarine AFC
48.8% (-0.722 -0.72)25.26% (0.112 0.11)25.94% (0.606 0.61)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)51.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (-0.31 -0.31)20.92% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (-0.486 -0.49)53.66% (0.483 0.48)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (0.505 0.5)34.35% (-0.508 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (0.538 0.54)71.06% (-0.53999999999999 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 48.8%
    Marine AFC 25.94%
    Draw 25.25%
BuxtonDrawMarine AFC
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.8%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.106 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 25.94%