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FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Map Group UK Stadium

Stockton Town
1 - 1
Chester

Thompson (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rawlinson (90')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Stockton Town and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockton Town

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Last Game: Stockton Town 3-2 Marine AFC
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Chester FC

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 1-2 Chester
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Stockton Town had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Stockton Town win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Stockton TownDrawChester FC
22.92% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)24.19% (-0.004999999999999 -0)52.88% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.07% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.28% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (0.004999999999999 0)71.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Stockton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.95% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)36.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)72.83% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)18.58% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (0.012 0.01)49.86% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stockton Town 22.92%
    Chester FC 52.88%
    Draw 24.19%
Stockton TownDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 5.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.68%
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 22.92%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 11.27%
1-2 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 9.49% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 5.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 5.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 52.88%