Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 51.64%. A win for Dunston had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Dunston win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.