FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium

Scarborough Ath
5 - 2
Dunston

Weledji (3'), Tear (32'), Wiles (38'), Wilson (47'), Rees (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coulson (75'), Djalo (90+2')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying Replays clash between Scarborough Athletic and Dunston.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dunston 1-1 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 51.64%. A win for Dunston had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Dunston win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawDunston
51.64% (-1.502 -1.5)22.57% (0.188 0.19)25.79% (1.315 1.32)
Both teams to score 60.7% (0.779 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.64% (0.392 0.39)39.36% (-0.391 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.3% (0.41 0.41)61.7% (-0.409 -0.41)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (-0.36800000000001 -0.37)15.39% (0.369 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.81% (-0.693 -0.69)44.19% (0.693 0.69)
Dunston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (1.228 1.23)28.26% (-1.227 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (1.522 1.52)63.98% (-1.522 -1.52)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 51.64%
    Dunston 25.79%
    Draw 22.57%
Scarborough AthleticDrawDunston
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.14% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.343 -0.34)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.64%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.147 0.15)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.237 0.24)
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.17 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.189 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.145 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 25.79%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Second Round Qualifying
Dunston
1-1
Scarborough Ath
Robson (53')
Wiles (56')
rhs 2.0


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