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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Birtley Sports Complex

Birtley Town
1 - 5
Dunston

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Birtley Town and Dunston.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birtley Town

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Last Game: Blyth Town 0-2 Birtley Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Dunston

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Last Game: Dunston 3-0 Whickham
Wednesday, August 21 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunston win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Birtley Town had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunston win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-3 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Birtley Town win it was 2-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunston would win this match.

Result
Birtley TownDrawDunston
12.85% (-1.114 -1.11)15.72% (-0.918 -0.92)71.43% (2.033 2.03)
Both teams to score 61.84% (0.42400000000001 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.9% (1.921 1.92)27.09% (-1.919 -1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.39% (2.387 2.39)47.61% (-2.386 -2.39)
Birtley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (-0.154 -0.15)33.7% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64% (-0.167 -0.17)70.36% (0.169 0.17)
Dunston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.28% (0.85600000000001 0.86)6.72% (-0.8541 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.13% (2.254 2.25)24.87% (-2.252 -2.25)
Score Analysis
    Birtley Town 12.85%
    Dunston 71.43%
    Draw 15.72%
Birtley TownDrawDunston
2-1 @ 3.62% (-0.294 -0.29)
1-0 @ 2.46% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 1.34% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-1 @ 1.31% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 12.85%
1-1 @ 6.65% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-0 @ 2.27% (-0.276 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 15.72%
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-2 @ 8.26% (-0.204 -0.2)
1-3 @ 8.08% (0.134 0.13)
0-3 @ 7.43% (0.154 0.15)
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.441 -0.44)
1-4 @ 5.45% (0.328 0.33)
0-4 @ 5.02% (0.321 0.32)
2-3 @ 4.39% (0.054 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.97% (0.166 0.17)
1-5 @ 2.95% (0.299 0.3)
0-5 @ 2.71% (0.286 0.29)
2-5 @ 1.6% (0.157 0.16)
1-6 @ 1.33% (0.187 0.19)
0-6 @ 1.22% (0.177 0.18)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 71.43%