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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Burton Albion

Cambridge
1 - 0
Burton Albion

Cousins (84')
Bennett (39'), Andrew (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bennett (5'), Watt (23'), Bodin (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-3 Wycombe
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawBurton Albion
41.64% (0.020000000000003 0.02)26.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)31.92% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (0.012 0.01)52.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01)74.38% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (0.016000000000005 0.02)25.02% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (0.021000000000001 0.02)59.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)67.03% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 41.64%
    Burton Albion 31.92%
    Draw 26.43%
Cambridge UnitedDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.66%
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.64%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.92%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Burton Albion

Cambridge United
50.0%
Draw
38.9%
Burton Albion
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Cambridge
0-0
Burton Albion
Harris (21'), Morrison (45+1'), Andrew (56'), Taylor (90+4'), Lankester (90+10')
Moon (20'), Seddon (64'), Oshilaja (69'), Carayol (74'), Bennett (87'), Crocombe (90+7')
Seddon (64')
Oct 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Burton Albion
2-1
Cambridge
Walker (10'), Oshilaja (31')
Baah (53'), Bennett (90')
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
2-2
Cambridge
Yahyai (2' pen.), Kokolo (62')
Gilligan (24')
Knibbs (25'), Smith (72')
Sherring (90+1')