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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%).
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Crawley Town |
28.24% ( 4.94) | 25.36% ( 1.14) | 46.4% ( -6.08) |
Both teams to score 53.4% ( 0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.07% ( -0.89) | 49.93% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.08% ( -0.8) | 71.91% ( 0.8) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.05% ( 3.61) | 31.95% ( -3.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% ( 3.93) | 68.4% ( -3.92) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% ( -2.87) | 21.52% ( 2.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.42% ( -4.62) | 54.58% ( 4.62) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.99) 2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.92) 2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.93) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.56) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.48) Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.24% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( -1.24) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.67) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( -1.08) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.45) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.6) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.42% Total : 46.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
4 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
10 | Blackpool | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Barnsley | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
13 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
14 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
16 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 13 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 7 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
23 | Burton Albion | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |