Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%).