Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 40.77% ( | 24.95% ( | 34.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% ( | 45.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( | 68.08% ( |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( | 22.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( | 55.88% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( | 25.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.19% ( | 60.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.77% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.29% |