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FA Cup

Hartlepool United
FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Northern Gas and Power Stadium

Hartlepool
1 - 1
Brackley Town

Campbell (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carline (32')
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Hartlepool United and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 4-3 Sutton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

Brackley Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Southport 0-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawBrackley Town
52.52% (-2.375 -2.38)23.56% (0.927 0.93)23.92% (1.45 1.45)
Both teams to score 55.28% (-1.274 -1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.4% (-2.541 -2.54)45.6% (2.545 2.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (-2.467 -2.47)67.93% (2.469 2.47)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (-1.752 -1.75)17.34% (1.755 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27% (-3.164 -3.16)47.73% (3.166 3.17)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (-0.119 -0.12)33.13% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (-0.132 -0.13)69.72% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 52.52%
    Brackley Town 23.92%
    Draw 23.56%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.498 0.5)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.69% (-0.414 -0.41)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.356 -0.36)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.24 -0.24)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.344 -0.34)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.303 -0.3)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 52.52%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.52 0.52)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.6 0.6)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.35% (0.644 0.64)
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.267 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.346 0.35)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 23.92%