National League North | Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park

Brackley Town
1 - 0
Marine AFC

Dean (54')
Bates (45+1'), Newton (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sinclair-Smith (10'), Zimba (65'), Atcheson (74'), Mattock (87')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Marine AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawMarine AFC
39.27% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)26.4% (0.075999999999997 0.08)34.33% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.68% (-0.226 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.94% (-0.299 -0.3)52.06% (0.302 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.21% (-0.257 -0.26)73.78% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)25.96% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (-0.309 -0.31)60.97% (0.309 0.31)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09)28.85% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (-0.11 -0.11)64.71% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 39.27%
    Marine AFC 34.33%
    Draw 26.39%
Brackley TownDrawMarine AFC
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 39.27%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.33%