Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Hartlepool United
National League | Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
Sutton United

Hartlepool
4 - 3
Sutton

Charman (55'), Dieseruvwe (58', 71', 85')
Robinson (4'), Waterfall (35'), Ferguson (62'), Charman (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Harris (6'), Nadesan (24'), Simper (83')
Barbrook (29'), Waller (42'), Vaz (53')
Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 1-2 Sutton
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawSutton United
28.68% (0.030999999999999 0.03)25.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.99% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.78% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)49.57% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.4% (0.004999999999999 0)71.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (0.024999999999991 0.02)31.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (0.028999999999996 0.03)67.82% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)21.56% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.37% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)54.64% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 28.68%
    Sutton United 45.99%
    Draw 25.33%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 6.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.68%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 10.4%
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 7.98% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 45.99%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hartlepool
2-2
Sutton
Kemp (43'), Dodds (45+3')
Ajiboye (18'), Angol (31')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Sutton
2-0
Hartlepool
Randall (53'), Beautyman (66')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Hartlepool
1-1
Sutton
Crawford (51')
Kizzi (3')
Sep 14, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Sutton
1-0
Hartlepool
Goodliffe (25')
Bugiel (74'), Milsom (90+1')

Featherstone (70'), Byrne (74'), Cullen (86')
May 23, 2021 12.45pm
Gameweek 55
Sutton
3-0
Hartlepool
Milsom (35'), John (73'), Olaofe (80')

Johnson (55'), Francis-Angol (57')